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re: The view from Davos - Part two: Hunger and malnutrition – the forgotten MDG? @ Wednesday, February 06, 2008 9:45 AM
Eventually food output should rise to dampen at least some of the price rise (although this effect could be muted by the switch of crop land to corn for ethanol). But the chronically poor have very few means to cope: being largely unskilled they find it hard to get compensating wage increases when food prices rises; many are women with young (and hungry) children; and many are too old or too sick to find work. So even if production does rise eventually, the chronically poor could get badly squeezed by rising food costs. They can’t wait.
This is not just a problem for the poor world. The US government buys surplus food for distribution through food banks such as America’s Second Harvest — but these purchases are now at a 26-year low as farmers switch to biofuel crops. So the food banks face shortages — at a time of rising unemployment and a stalling economy.
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The food crisis: are we making progress? @ Thursday, July 24, 2008 6:04 PM
If every word written about the global food crisis were a grain of rice, hunger in the world would be a distant memory. But let’s not be cynical - there is cause for cautious optimism. Progress is being made on the policy front and the commitments are
Last week, I attended the World Economic Forum in Davos. This is
the second of four blogs with my reflections and predictions on how the
debates will be taken forward in 2008. (for the other blogs, visit 'ODI on... Davos 2008')
Substantively, my enduring memory is of the profile given to hunger and malnutrition, with Robert Zoellick (WB) and Josette Sheeran (WFP) both mounting major public initiatives on the ‘forgotten MDG’.
Elsewhere in these Davos blogs I consider the power of story. Stories featured very much in the hunger discussions, and I must say that Josette Sheeran is probably the most savvy communicator and one of the most charismatic UN agency leaders since Jim Grant. When Josette had done the stories, and was introducing Ban Ki Moon, she produced a red plastic cup, of the kind used to distribute porridge to children in feeding centres. ‘I’ve kept this on my desk’, she said, ‘to remind me every day of why WFP matters to the world. Mr Secretary General, I want you to have it and keep it on your desk, to remind you about the importance of hunger and malnutrition’.
I talked at that event about food as a social matrix (citing George Orwell on tea), about leadership, and about the opportunities in 2008. Josette Sheeran and others made a big thing at Davos about food prices being so high, and the hardship this will cause, and the geopolitical risks. I said (on advice from colleagues at ODI) that we should expect a supply response, that prices would come down and that long-term rises might not exceed 10%. The World Bank, I think, has the same advice, but I was taken to task by others, including Jacques Diouf, the DG of FAO (China/India meat consumption, biofuels, climate stress the long term drivers). In fact, I checked the futures market earlier, and the prices for end-2009 are not much lower than spot, only 5 or 10%. But of course, a good harvest would allow stocks to rebuild and would reduce the pressure.
Apart from raising the profile of WFP, and raising a lot of private money, Josette Sheeran is moving WFP from being an agency which distributes foreign food to one which uses cash resources to buy food locally and wherever possible provide resources to enable people to buy their own food, in ‘normal’ situations as well as emergencies. The latest proposal is to help the poor cope with high food prices in Bangladesh by supporting a voucher scheme. I’m entirely supportive of this huge cultural shift. HPG work on needs assessment and on cash distribution has been influential here.
What I would like to see is a ‘one-UN’ initiative on hunger, with WFP, FAO, IFAD, UNCEF, and WHO - and maybe the Bank – making a joint statement on hunger and setting something up for the MDG Summit in New York September and the Financing for Development meeting in Doha at the end of November. The model is the International Health Partnership, launched by Gordon Brown last year, which very deliberately did not set up a new funding mechanism. In this case, we would want to make sure that additional funding was channelled to the core budgets of the participating agencies. FAO are planning a high-level conference/summit on food price and related issues in the near future. Also relevant is a big WEF initiative called the ‘Business Alliance Against Chronic Hunger’.
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Making oil and gas work for inclusive development: lessons from the South May 2008 - June 2008
Results of PSIAs on Bank operations April 2008 - September 2008
Reviewing the Results of Poverty and Social Impact Analysis on Bank Operations and In-Country Policy Formulation April 2008 - September 2008
2008 Survey on Monitoring the Paris Declaration March 2008 - December 2008
2007 Pakistan National Survey of HIV & STIs March 2008 - April 2008
Aid for Trade: Promoting Inclusive Growth March 2008 - September 2009
Innocenti Child Rights March 2008 - September 2008
PRS Training 2008 March 2008 - December 2008
Political Diagnostics and Growth February 2008 - March 2008
PFM Training Maputo February 2008 - February 2008
Study on Aid Instruments in Fragile States February 2008 - April 2008
GAVI Alliance Gender Policy Development January 2008 - June 2008
Millennium Villages Project Review January 2008 - December 2008
2008 Progress Report on the Paris Declaration January 2008 - March 2008
Backstopping support to SDC 2008 January 2008 - December 2008
Mutual Accountability Concept Note January 2008 - November 2008
Educational Support Programme (EMMME) December 2007 - January 2008
Background paper for 2008 Commonwealth Conference of Auditors General December 2007 - May 2008
Country Governance Analysis Policy Review December 2007 - March 2008
Approaches to assessing multilateral performance December 2007 - January 2008
DFID Human Rights Practice Review December 2007 - March 2008
Human Rights Practice Review December 2007 - March 2008
Learning Event on Promoting Pro-Poor Growth December 2007 - December 2007
Review of Global Health Partnerships December 2007 - March 2008
Trade Policy, Trade and Investment Promotion November 2007 - February 2008
HIV AIDS Education Communications Strategy - Tanzania Workshop November 2007 - December 2007
Study on social protection and children in West and Central Africa November 2007 - September 2008
Synergy between bilateral and multilateral activities November 2007 - January 2008
Fragile State Analysis and Baseline October 2007 - January 2008
World Bank Guidance Note on PRS / Budget Links October 2007 - December 2007
Parliamentary strengthening case studies October 2007 - April 2008
Tanzania Scenario Analysis September 2007 - December 2007
China in Africa September 2007 - March 2008
Policy coherence for Development: Synthesis Report September 2007 - January 2008
Sindh Education Reform Programme August 2007 - February 2012
Wilton Park Democracy Papers August 2007 - September 2007
Commitment to Development Index Launch August 2007 - December 2007
Funding Sources of UN Agencies in Malawi August 2007 - September 2007
Quality of Aid - advisor to CGD August 2007 - January 2008
Policy Paper on taxation and accountability July 2007 - October 2007
Africa Power & Politics Programme (APPP) July 2007 - June 2012
Budget Support, Aid Instruments and the Environment - The country context July 2007 - February 2008
Design of a Climate Change Innovation Programme (CCIP) for India July 2007 - December 2007
Spatial disparities and development policy June 2007 - November 2007
EUROsociAL June 2007 - December 2007
SPA Budget Support Surveys 2007 and 2008 June 2007 - March 2009
Joint Learning Programme on SWAps: Cambodia June 2007 - August 2007
Mapping the Global Partnership for Development: Country-level mappings of global issues, external policies and country contexts. June 2007 - March 2008
Norad Country Evaluation – Zambia June 2007 - August 2007
Irish Aid Selection of 10th Programme Country - Statistical Indicators May 2007 - June 2007
Facilitator CAPS Results Framework May 2007 - May 2007
Analytical Paper on State-Building May 2007 - July 2007
Project Completion Reports for DFID Budget Support Programmes 04/05 and 05/06 May 2007 - May 2007
Assessment of Paris Baseline Survey Findings May 2007 - June 2007
Re-thinking aid policy in response to Zimbabwe's protracted crisis May 2007 - June 2007
UNCT Rwanda Liaison May 2007 - June 2007
Scoping DFID's Policy on Human Rights April 2007 - October 2007
Strengthening Public Expediture Management in Bosnia and Herzegovina April 2007 - June 2007
Short Term Consultancy for Strategic Conflict Assessment April 2007 - May 2007
2007 Annual Report on the Results and Impact of IFAD Operations April 2007 - September 2007
Application of the Performance Based Allocation (PBA) System to Fragile States April 2007 - June 2007
EU Aid Effectiveness April 2007 - June 2007
ODI/AAPPG Meetings Series: Parliaments and Development April 2007 - May 2007
Strategic Governance and Corruption Assessments April 2007 - March 2009
Nepal Participatory Poverty Assessment March 2007 - June 2007
Contribute expertise to lesson-learning seminar in DfId March 2007 - March 2007
Aid, Resource Rents and the Politics of the Budget Process March 2007 - April 2007
Biofuels, agriculture and poverty reduction March 2007 - March 2007
# The view from Davos - Part three: Perspectives on the environmental debate @ Monday, February 04, 2008 10:52 AM
In the third of five blogs, I consider perspectives in three key areas- biofuels, climate change adaptation and water.Overseas Development Institute - Blog
# Surging Food Prices - Globalization’s Downside « Ending World Poverty @ Monday, February 04, 2008 11:25 PM
PingBack from http://povertyblog.wordpress.com/2008/02/04/surging-food-prices-globalizations-downside/Surging Food Prices - Globalization’s Downside « Ending World Poverty
# re: The view from Davos - Part two: Hunger and malnutrition – the forgotten MDG? @ Wednesday, February 06, 2008 9:45 AM
Eventually food output should rise to dampen at least some of the price rise (although this effect could be muted by the switch of crop land to corn for ethanol). But the chronically poor have very few means to cope: being largely unskilled they find it hard to get compensating wage increases when food prices rises; many are women with young (and hungry) children; and many are too old or too sick to find work. So even if production does rise eventually, the chronically poor could get badly squeezed by rising food costs. They can’t wait.This is not just a problem for the poor world. The US government buys surplus food for distribution through food banks such as America’s Second Harvest — but these purchases are now at a 26-year low as farmers switch to biofuel crops. So the food banks face shortages — at a time of rising unemployment and a stalling economy.
Tony Addison
# Will rising food prices derail development efforts? @ Friday, February 29, 2008 2:02 PM
Rising food prices are very much in the news.  Farmers may gain, but poor consumers are hard hit...Overseas Development Institute - Blog
# The food crisis: are we making progress? @ Thursday, July 24, 2008 6:04 PM
If every word written about the global food crisis were a grain of rice, hunger in the world would be a distant memory. But let’s not be cynical - there is cause for cautious optimism. Progress is being made on the policy front and the commitments areOverseas Development Institute (ODI) Blog